Abstract

As China’s economic strength, diplomatic confidence and military capabilities increase, this rising power looms ever larger in the calculations of Southeast Asian governments. Some observers now fear that, if current trends towards accommodating China continue, Southeast Asian states’ freedom of manoeuvre may be compromised permanently. Yet, far from acquiescing in Beijing’s regional aspirations, Southeast Asian states continue to employ hedging strategies, with the US seen as the crucial ‘regional balancer’. There are important weaknesses in Washington’s regional strategic posture, however, and future crises could present the sub-region with precisely what it is seeking to avoid: the need to choose between America and China.

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