Abstract

Abstract Background Worldwide consumption of ultra-processed foods (UPFs) is continued to rise. Growing evidence has linked higher consumption with elevated risks of obesity and non-communicable diseases in adults. However, the influence of UPFs on long-term adiposity trajectories have not been evaluated in children. Methods Prospective birth cohort data were obtained from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children. English children with baseline dietary intakes from 3-day food diaries and repeated adiposity measures were followed up from ages 7-24 years. Outcomes included body mass index (BMI), weight, waist circumference (WC), fat mass index (FMI) and body fat percentage. UPFs were identified using the NOVA food classification. Child's consumption of UPFs was derived as a percentage of its weight contribution (gram per day) in the total diet and categorised into quintiles. Longitudinal associations were assessed using linear growth curve models and adjusted for study covariates. Results Of the 9025 children followed up over a median (IQR) of 10.2 (5.2-16.4) years. Trajectories of BMI, FMI, weight and WC increased by an additional 0.06 (95% CI, 0.04-0.08) kg/m2, 0.03 (0.01-0.05) kg/m2, 0.20 (0.11-0.28) kg and 0.17 (0.11-0.22) cm per year among those in the highest (vs. lowest) quintile of UPF consumption. Evidence of dose-response relationships were consistently observed with those in the two highest quintiles of UPF consumption showing significantly more rapid progression of BMI, weight, and WC. Conclusions Radical and effective public health actions that reduce children's exposure and consumption of UPFs are urgently needed to address the obesity epidemic in England and internationally. Funding: CM and EV are funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) School for Public Health Research (SPHR), Grant Reference Number PD-SPH-2015. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the NIHR or the Department of Health and Social Care. Key messages Children with highest (vs. lowest) quintile of ultra-processed food consumption had more rapid regression of BMI, FMI, weight and waist circumference from ages 7-24 years. Dose-response relationships were consistently observed in the two highest quintile of ultra-processed food consumption showing more rapid progression of BMI, weight and waist circumference.

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