Abstract

Based on the long-term, demographic forecast, Hungary faces a significant population loss. This paper examines the continuing low level of Hungarian fertility, as well as the marked decline of population due to out-migration beginning in the mid-2000s. First, I will discuss the role governmental family policies play in halting fertility decline before 1989, the demographic post-transitional period of 1960-1980 and the past thirty years since 1989. Second, this paper particularly aims to highlight the impact of the new family policy since 2010, a reverse redistribution of resources from poor to the better-off families which did not result in a marked growth of birth rates. The new family benefits possibly further contribute to the existing polarization of Hungarian society without altering Hungary’s demographic data. Finally, the paper also compares the recent changes of family policies in Poland, Hungary and Romania since 2004.

Highlights

  • Based on the long-term, demographic forecast, Hungary faces a significant population loss

  • This paper examines the continuing low level of Hungarian fertility, as well as the marked decline of population due to out-migration beginning in the mid-2000s

  • This paper aims to highlight the impact of the new family policy since 2010, a reverse redistribution of resources from poor to the better-off families which did not result in a marked growth of birth rates

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Summary

Works Cited

Magyar Társadalom-és Szociálpolitika 1990-2015 [‘Hungarian Society and Social Policy 1990-2015’] Budapest:Osiris. Zsuzsa, Sik, Endre, Róbert, Péter and Albert, Fruzsina. “Continuity and Change in Family Policies of the New Democracies: Comparison of Poland, Hungary and Romania.”. Social Policy Responses to Demographic Crises in Hungary and Poland since EU Enlargement” East European Politics and Societies and Cultures 20.10: 1-21. “Reform of the Hungarian Family Policy System: Are Employed Parents the Main Beneficiairies?” Hungarian Demographic Research Institute. The Budapest Beacon https://xpatloop.com/channels/2018/11/hungary-leads-in-brain-drain-statistic.html https://hu.euronews.com/2018/11/07/mar-a-diplomas-magyarok-8-szazaleka-el-esdolgozik-kulfoldon in Hungarian Social Report.2018:142. “Family Policies and Social Inequalities in Central and Eastern Europe: A Comparative Analysis of Hungary, Poland and Romania Between 2005 and 2015.”. “Democracy and Welfare in Hard Times: The Social Policy of the Orbán Government in Hungary Between 2010 and 2014.”. “Ez az igazi migráció: már minden hatodik magyar külföldön születik” [‘This is the Real Emigration: Every Sixth Hungarian Is Born Abroad’]. 444.hu https://hu.euronews.com/2019/04/10/minde-hatnodik-magyar-gyerek-kulfoldon-szuletik

Year Total Fertility Rate Year Total Fertility Rate
Growth rate
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