Characterizing long-term radon concentration changes in a geothermal area for correlation with volcanic earthquakes and reservoir temperatures: A case study from Mt. Aso, southwestern Japan

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to characterize in detail the temporal changes in Rn (radon-222) concentration in soil gases near fumaroles and clarify its correlation with volcanic earthquakes and temperatures in two geothermal reservoirs. Mt. Aso crater in southwest Japan, which has two reservoirs on its western side estimated by magnetotelluric survey to be at about 2km in depth, was selected for this study. For the long-term survey, the α scintillation counter method was used weekly for 12.5years at the three hot springs within a 2-km range. Rn concentrations were calculated using the CRAS method, a calculation method that considers radioactive equilibrium or nonequilibrium state of the soil gas. Rn concentrations generally showed similar fluctuation patterns among the sites. CRAS was used as a new indicator for evaluating the age of the soil gas. This age corresponds to the elapsed time determined from the generation of Rn based on the measurement of the numbers of atoms of Rn and its daughter 218Po at the start of measurement. In comparing the Rn data with the history of earthquakes in the Aso caldera, volcanic seismicity was identified as a major controlling factor in the sudden increase and decrease in Rn concentration as a function of age. For more precise detections of change, Rn concentrations were measured continuously at one site by pumping soil gas from a borehole and using an ionization chamber over 2.5years. Five chemical components (He, H2, N2, CH4, and CO2) were then measured by gas chromatography at 1-week intervals. Because Rn concentrations are affected strongly by atmospheric temperatures, the residual components were obtained by subtracting the trend of the components from the original data. Chemical component data were used to estimate the temperature and pressure in the reservoir at the site; temperatures ranged from 229 to 280°C, (average 265°C, average pressure 80MPa). Residual Rn concentrations showed a clear correlation with temporal changes in estimated temperature and, to a degree, with pressure. Considering the migration mechanism of Rn by molecular diffusion and advection under rapid gas upflow conditions, change in the diffusion coefficient is regarded as a possible factor to have induced temporal changes in Rn concentrations in conjunction with the temperature changes in the reservoirs. In addition, the increase of the amount of degassed Rn from the advective–convective hydrothermal fluids, which is associated with wall-rock fracturing, is another important factor. Earthquakes likely enhance the permeability of a reservoir by generating fractures, which in turn can cause an increase in the reservoir temperature, upflow fluid velocity, and gas flux. This provides one possible interpretation for the significant correlation of Rn concentrations with earthquakes.