Characterizing amyloid positive individuals with normal tau PET levels five years later: An ADNI study

Abstract

AbstractBackgroundDiagnosing Alzheimer’s disease (AD) with biomarkers requires evidence of abnormal beta‐amyloid (Aβ) and tau. Individuals that are Aβ‐positive, but tau‐negative, are considered to have AD neuropathologic change, or early AD. The objective of this study was to determine whether some Aβ‐positive but tau‐negative individuals remain tau‐negative 5‐years later and describe the characteristics of such individuals.MethodWe identified 45 individuals from ADNI who were Aβ‐positive but tau‐negative on PET more than five years after their first abnormal Aβ‐PET (Amyloid+ Low Tau, ALT group). For comparison, we identified 157 Aβ‐positive individuals that had abnormal tau‐PET within five years of their first abnormal Aβ‐PET (i.e. biomarker‐AD). Aβ‐positivity was determined by ADNI‐provided cut‐points of 1.11 for AV45 and 1.08 for florbetapir. A negative tau‐PET scan was defined using Gaussian mixture modeling.ResultThe ALT and biomarker‐AD groups were similar in terms of sex and age at the time of their first Aβ‐PET scan. However, the ALT group was characterized by a lower proportion of APOE ε4 carriers (31% versus 67%, p<0.001), a lower median centiloid (36 versus 85, p<0.001, Figure) and lower likelihood of having a dementia diagnosis at first Aβ PET (2% versus 22%, p<0.001) compared to the biomarker‐AD group. The ALT group also performed better on tests of general cognition and had larger hippocampal volume compared to biomarker‐AD (p<0.001 for all). APOE ε4 status, centiloid and hippocampal volume were all associated with increased odds of elevated tau within 5 years from baseline Aβ‐PET (Table). Within the ALT group, 19 (42%) had high centiloid (>40): these individuals did not differ from the <40 centiloid individuals in clinical diagnosis, but there was some indication of a higher APOE ε4 frequency (42% versus 23%; p=0.30).ConclusionAmyloid‐positive individuals can remain tau‐negative for at least five years, and without becoming demented. Baseline characteristics can help identify these ALT individuals that have a low risk of progression. These findings beg the question of whether more conservative Aβ cut‐points are required for diagnosis of individuals with a high risk of developing AD.