Characterization of Irreversible Land Subsidence in the Yazd‐Ardakan Plain, Iran From 2003 to 2020 InSAR Time Series

Abstract

AbstractGroundwater extraction rates exceeding recharge are occurring throughout Iran to sustain industrial and agricultural activities, resulting in land deformation in many areas, particularly in the Yazd‐Ardakan Plain (YAP) in central Iran's dry and desert regions. In this study, Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) time series analysis and statistical models are applied to characterize the controls on land subsidence in the YAP from 2003 to 2020. Our results reveal the existence of a northwest‐southeast elongated area of 234.45 km2 experiencing subsidence at rates up to 15 cm/yr. In the YAP, the international Airport, railway, transit road, and several industrial and historical sites are threatened by the differential subsidence. Well data confirm that groundwater levels have decreased by 18 meters between 1974 and 2018, driving the compaction of sediments within the underlying aquifer system. Our statistical analysis shows that the thickness of a shallow, clay‐rich aquitard layer controls the extent of the observed subsidence and the Independent Component Analysis of the InSAR time series shows that inelastic compaction is dominated. This work reveals that current groundwater extraction practices in central Iran are not sustainable and result in permanent subsidence, ground fractures with impact on infrastructures, and a permanent decrease in water storage capacity.