Characterization of driving factors for the long-term succession of bloom-forming cyanobacterial genera in Lake Erhai, southwest China

Abstract

Cyanobacterial blooms pose a global environmental concern, with various genera contributing to their formation. The harmfulness of cyanobacterial blooms varies depending on the specific genus, yet the factors triggering their formation remain incompletely understood. This study conducted qPCR of sediment DNA in Lake Erhai to reconstruct the historical succession of three common bloom-forming cyanobacterial genera (i.e., Microcystis, Dolichospermum, and Aphanizomenon). The driving factors and their corresponding thresholds were identified, and human activities related to driving factors were evaluated. The results revealed two successions in the past century. The first succession transitioned from Aphanizomenon (1902–1978) to Microcystis and Dolichospermum (1978–1999), driven by TN:TP and TP. The second succession shifted from Microcystis and Dolichospermum (1978–1999) to Microcystis (1999–2010), driven by TP, TN:TP, and temperature. The thresholds of TP and TN:TP for the Microcystis bloom were 0.023 mg/L and 17, respectively. TN:TP was significantly influenced by domestic pollution and crop farming in both successions, while TP was significantly impacted by domestic pollution in the first succession and by pollution from crop and dairy farming in the second succession. These results shed light on the underlying mechanism responsible for the blooms of various cyanobacterial genera and could serve as a valuable reference for effectively preventing and controlling nutrient input in the watershed.