Abstract

Small studies suggest that a new entity of high-grade (HG) (G3, by Ki-67 or mitotic index) well-differentiated (histologically) gastrointestinal neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) exists, but prognosis and characteristics are unknown. We further characterized demographics and prognosis of patients with colorectal G3 NETs. We used the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database to study colorectal NETs diagnosed from 2000 to 2015. We evaluated demographic, clinical, and tumor characteristics. We compared overall survival (OS) for G1-2 NET, G3 NET, and NEC (neuroendocrine carcinoma). We used logistic regression to detect grade associations and Cox proportional hazards models to examine predictors of survival. We identified 5894 cases with colorectal NET (5780 [98.1%] G1-2 and 114 [1.9%] G3); the cohort was 66% white, 47% male, and had a median age of 54. Patients with G3 NET were likely to be older (odds ratio [OR]: 2.23; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.19-4.19 for 60 to 69 vs. <50), unmarried (OR: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.02-2.38), and less likely to be diagnosed after 2010 (OR: 0.09; 95% CI: 0.06-0.15). OS for G3 NET (median, 36 mo; 95% CI: 13-92) fell between OS for NEC (median, 7 mo; 95% CI: 6-8), and G1-2 NET (median not reached, >120 mo). Among G1-3 NETs, black patients (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.30; 95% CI: 1.03-1.62), older patients (HR: 3.63; 95% CI: 2.63-5.01 for age 60 to 69 vs. <50), unmarried patients (HR: 1.40; 95% CI: 1.17-1.68), and those with HG features (HR: 3.97; 95% CI: 3.15-4.99) had worse survival. We defined a subset of G3 NETs that are HG and well differentiated, more common in older, unmarried patients, with a prognosis between that of NEC and G1-2 NETs. Our analysis adds the first national registry study in support of a new classification of nonpancreatic HG and well-differentiated NETs.

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