Abstract

The electromagnetic launch system (EMLS) is a kind of large-scale complex system with strong mechanical, electrical, and hydraulic coupling. The effective operation of the system requires the support of advanced and reliable health management system, and the function of the health management system relies on the network traffic to complete data transmission and interaction. Through protocol filtering and time-frequency characteristic analysis of network traffic, it is found that the system mainly includes CIP and TCP; traffic of CIP shows continuity and stability, while traffic of TCP shows sparsity and impact. Based on the analysis of traffic characteristics, an SVR-ARMA network traffic model is established, which improves the prediction accuracy and performance of network traffic and provides a reliable technical guarantee for the fault diagnosis and health management of the EMLS.

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