Changing Elite Perceptions of the Northern Irish Conflict, 1973-1983

Abstract

Studies of ethnopolitical activity in so-called plural societies rarely include in-depth interviews with the elites of the communal groups involved or attempts to chart changes in their perceptions over time. This study is based on the author's conversations with 76 Northern Irish political activists during the summer of 1983. It has three major components. First, the most salient changes in Northern Irish politics over the past 20 years are examined, not only the developments themselves but also their impact on the perceptions of interviewees. Second, while the discussion focuses on Northern Ireland, some important theoretical implications emerge. Third, an assessment is made of the prospects for breaking Northern Ireland's political deadlock, including discussion of the November 1985 Anglo-Irish Intergovernmental Agreement.