Changes in carbon stock in the Xing’an permafrost regions in Northeast China from the late 1980s to 2020

Abstract

ABSTRACT The degradation of Xing’an permafrost affects the stability of carbon pool and carbon emissions of the hemiboreal ecosystem in Northeast China. Due to the lack of long-term monitoring and detailed research, changes in carbon stock in terrestrial ecosystems in the Xing’an permafrost regions in Northeast China remain little known. In this study, we conducted more accurate simulations for the aboveground biomass (AGB), belowground biomass (BGB), dead organic carbon (DOC), and soil organic carbon (SOC) in the top 0–30 cm in permafrost regions in Northeast China using the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST) model. The model was applied using multi-period land use/land cover (LULC) and carbon density data from the late 1980s, 2000, 2010, and 2020. In Northeast China, the permafrost extent shrank rapidly by 108,600 km2 from 365,300 km2 in the 1980s to 256,700 km2 in the 2010s. The total carbon stock in permafrost regions in Northeast China was estimated at 4293.04 Tg C in the 1980s and at 4049.56 Tg C in the 2010s. Based on the permafrost extent of the 1980s, it was estimated that from the late 1980s to 2020, the LULC transformation resulted in the reduction of carbon stock by 33.53 Tg C, while the carbon fixation of vegetation growth increased by 1205.18 Tg C, i.e. a net carbon accumulation of 1149.15 Tg C. However, this estimate of the increasing carbon pool still awaits more systematic studies on the carbon budgets at larger soil depths of the top 2–3 m soils. This estimate can provide a timely preliminary estimate of the carbon pool as the baseline in the permafrost region of Northeast China for national and regional initiatives of carbon neutralization.