Changes in agricultural land use and its consequences on crop productivity, diversity, and food availability in an agriculturally developed state of India.

Abstract

The present study, covering a period of 52years (1966-2017), explores changes in agricultural land use and its consequences on crop productivity, diversity, and food availability in Haryana, an agriculturally developed state of India. The time series data on different parameters (area, production, yield, etc.) were collected from the secondary sources and analyzed with the help of compound annual growth rate, trend tests (simple linear regression and Mann-Kendall), and change point detection tests such as Pettitt, standard normal homogeneity, Buishand range, and Neumann ratio. Apart from above, the relative share of area and yield to total change in output was determined using decomposition analysis. The results revealed that agricultural land use became intensive and underwent significant alteration with multifold shifting in area from coarse cereals (maize, jowar, and bajra) to fine food grains (wheat and rice). The yield of all crops, especially wheat and rice witnessed a significant increase which subsequently led to an upsurge in their production. However, the production of maize, jowar, and pulses recorded negative growth despite of an increase in their yield. The results also revealed manifold increase in use of modern key inputs during the first two periods (1966-1985), but afterwards input use rate slowed down. Additionally, the decomposition analysis revealed that yield effect remained positive in changing the production of all crops, but area contributed positively only in wheat, rice, cotton, and oilseeds. The major findings of this study imply that the production of crops can be enhanced only through improvement in yield because there is no further scope left for horizontal expansion in cultivable area of the state.