Change in CT-measured abdominal subcutaneous and visceral but not thigh fat areas predict future insulin sensitivity

Abstract

AimsWe examined the longitudinal association between change in body composition directly measured by computed tomography (CT) and future insulin sensitivity. MethodsThis was a prospective study with 10 years of follow-up with 297 Japanese-American without diabetes. Intra-abdominal fat area (IAFA) and abdominal subcutaneous fat area (SCFA), and thigh SCFA were measured by CT. Insulin sensitivity was calculated by HOMA-IR and the Matsuda index. ResultsBaseline and change in IAFA were significantly and independently associated with change in HOMA-IR and Matsuda index during follow-up. In multivariate analysis, IAFA and 10-year change in IAFA (Δ IAFA) was significantly and positively associated with 10-year HOMA-IR (p < 0.001) and significantly and negatively associated with 10-year Matsuda index (p < 0.001). The association with Matsuda index though was non-linear and best modeled as a quadratic function (Δ IAFA + Δ IAFA2). No significant associations in multivariate analyses were seen between thigh SCFA and insulin sensitivity or abdominal SCFA and HOMA-IR but an increase in abdominal SCFA was associated with diminished insulin sensitivity measured by the Matsuda index. ConclusionsAn increase in visceral adiposity predicts diminished insulin sensitivity over 10 years of follow-up independent of the size of this adipose depot at baseline.