Abstract
Turbocharger rotors represent one of the most likely early uses for engineering ceramics. The use of ceramics in turbocharger rotors is currently limited by technical, institutional, and economic barriers. Cost simulations illustrate that if technical barriers are overcome, in a full-scale production facility ceramic rotors could be produced at a cost level competitive with metallic rotors. Based on a survey of the preferences of turbocharger manufacturers in terms of the value they place on cost, weight and performance, the future ceramic turbocharger market is projected to grow to over $40 million/year by the year 2000. This implies a silicon nitride powder demand of approximately 350 t by the year 2000.
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