Abstract

This paper aims to examine whether and to what extent overconfident CEOs affect Australian real estate investment trusts’ (A-REITs) property investment activities during their tenure as the CEO of A-REITs, covering the period 2000–2019. A-REITs’ property investment and disposal activities are separately modelled against CEOs shares in their companies (an indicator of CEO overconfidence), as well as other controlled variables. We found that around 68% of A-REIT CEOs are overconfident over the study period. However, our empirical results also indicated that CEO overconfidence did not have a profound impact on A-REITs’ investment activities, either property acquisitions or disposals. This could be explained by high corporate governance of A-REITs. Specifically, Australian construction and property companies are the leading market players in sustainability. As publicly quoted companies, listed property and construction companies, particularly A-REITs could be exposed to various managerial issues, including corporate CEO overconfidence and its influence on the investment decision-making process. However, this managerial issue could be minimized via an enhancement of corporate governance that is a key pillar of sustainability. The mitigation of corporate overconfidence and implementation of corporate governance mechanisms makes REITs more accountable to their investors. The implications of the findings have also been discussed.

Highlights

  • This study offers a complete understanding of the role of overconfidence on corporate investment decisions, with a particular emphasis on the Australian real estate investment trusts’ (A-REITs) market

  • Unlike Eichholtz and Yönder [31], this study found that CEO confidence does not have a significant impact on A-REITs investment decision-making

  • This study aims to address the gap by examining A-REITs’ managerial and corporate overconfidence

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Summary

Introduction

According to the Property Council of Australia (PCA), the property and construction industry made a great contribution to the Australian GDP in 2015 (13% or AUD 202.9 billion) and offers a high number of 1.4 million jobs to the Australians, more than mining and manufacturing jobs combined [1]. This contribution has increased as the EPRA Total Markets table shows that at the time Australian GDP was USD 1.4 trillion, the Australian commercial real estate in 2019 was worth USD 612.50, which includes A-REITs’ market cap of USD 99.82 billion [2]

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