Abstract
Abstract. The factors that contribute to land use change in the municipality of Gaúcha do Norte - MT, are entirely linked to the economic process and agricultural production. This process has left Brazil in a state of alert due to the process of deforestation and loss of tropical forests. From 2000 to 2010, the forest areas converted into agriculture accounted for 13.3%, the main factor that directly potentiated with deforestation was the cultivation of soybeans, which in turn was occupying places previously occupied by livestock and pushing the livestock forest inside. The phenomena of land use change and land cover start from multidimensional issues in the environmental and economic context. The use of environmental modeling through cellular automata to analyze land use change phenomena and reproduce the trajectory through future land use simulations and evolution establishes an integration associated by mathematical models and flow integration systems. That predict the trajectory of land use change, thus generating a dynamic model capable of predicting future land use changes by replicating possible patterns of landscape evolution and enabling assessments of future ecological implications for the environment.
Highlights
Great economic demand for agricultural production, has left Brazil on alert mainly in the main agricultural frontier of the country: The Amazon and Cerrado
Impacts on the Amazon rainforest are grounded in changes in land cover driven by historical processes, which are due to both urban sprawl, agricultural production, and energy. (Cassman, 1999; Tilman d. 2002), points out that global production of grains, meat, energy and other agricultural products has doubled in recent decades, the globalization process of rising incomes overestimated new demands that boosted intensive agriculture, availability of new arable land
In the region of the municipality of Gaúcha do Norte - MT, from 2000 to 2010 the forest areas converted into agriculture represented 13.3%, the main factor that directly potentiated with deforestation was the cultivation of soybeans, which in turn was occupying places that until were occupied by livestock and pushing the forest livestock in
Summary
Great economic demand for agricultural production, has left Brazil on alert mainly in the main agricultural frontier of the country: The Amazon and Cerrado. The disputes of interest between small and large producers in the agricultural sector, has raised the environmental and climate change debates of the largest tropical forest in the world, putting in check the importance of biodiversity of fauna and flora and water resources in the Brazilian context Given these threat perspectives, impacts on the Amazon rainforest are grounded in changes in land cover driven by historical processes, which are due to both urban sprawl, agricultural production, and energy. 2002), points out that global production of grains, meat, energy and other agricultural products has doubled in recent decades, the globalization process of rising incomes overestimated new demands that boosted intensive agriculture, availability of new arable land In this controversial scenario to sustainable and conscious development, in 2009, in the state of Mato Grosso 19% of the Amazonian biome located in the state, were converted into areas of agricultural expansion. The objective of this paper is to analyze the anthropogenic effects and the main factors that contribute to land use change in the municipality of Gaúcha do Norte - MT, as well as to simulate the dynamics of land use and land cover for future scenarios based on current configurations
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