Cell Phone Related Violations and Motorcycle Accidents: A Bayesian Approach

Biranchi Adhikari,Harish Das,Rabindra Mahapatra,Ajay Behera

doi:10.31181/oresta091221107a

Abstract

The effects of cell phone use on motorcycle riders’ behaviour are studied in smart city, Bhubaneswar, capital of state odisha, India. Most of motorcycle riders confess using cell phone devices while driving. Moreover, relationship between near miss and accidents has been found with the use of cell phone, reflecting a risk factor for motorcycle riders.“ This study examines the relationship between such type of behaviours, comprising calling and manipulating the screen, and the frequency of near miss and actual accidents among motorcycle riders. We conducted a web based survey measuring cell phone-specific violations, human errors, near miss and accident to motorcycle riders (N=289; age range; 18-60). We hypothesized that the relationship between cell phone use and near miss would be explained by an increase in the number of human errors committed, thus increasing the likelihood of being involved in near miss. Moreover, we hypothesized that near miss will predict actual accidents. Outcomes of path analysis showed that cell phone-specific violations predicted accidents throughout their consecutive effects on human errors and near miss only in the subsample of men. These findings offer an explanation of how cell phone use contributes to increase the likelihood of getting involved in near miss and actual accidents. The current study builds a path model explaining how cell phone-specific violations lead to more near miss among motorcycle riders.

Highlights

Motorcycles are a popular means of transport worldwide, they can serve different purposes in different world regions
The participants that had not been involved in any motorcycle accident were 112 (38.7%), whereas 106 (36.6%) suffered at least one accident but did not get injured, and 81 (28.0%) of them had been involved in a motorcycle accident in which they got injured.”
Cellphone -specific violations is introduced in the model and conceptualized them as a type of violation that is affecting the occurrence of unsafe behaviors relying on human errors in men, but not in women

Summary

Introduction

Motorcycles are a popular means of transport worldwide, they can serve different purposes in different world regions. Within Southeast Asia, the proportion of motorcycle fatalities is much higher in Vietnam, Malaysia, Cambodia, and Thailand, at 58, 58, 70, and 73%, respectively (Abdul Manan et al, 2013; Ngo et al, 2012; WHO, 2015). Since 2010, the proportion of motorcycle fatalities has remained stable in most world regions (WHO, 2015), suggesting that motorcycle accidents continue to be a global safety issue. There has been a growing body of literature investigating risky riding behaviours of motorcycle riders in high-income countries (Moskal et al, 2012; Stephens et al, 2017) as well as in low- and middleincome countries (Roehler et al, 2015; Tongklao et al, 2016; Vu & Shimizu, 2007).”

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