Abstract

An attributing factor to Enterobacterales producing extended-spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBL-E) community spread is human-to-human transmission. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to estimate the duration of ESBL-E carriage in the community and the rate of household transmission. Literature search was performed on PubMed, EMBASE, and Scopus. Dose-response meta-analysis was planned to model the proportion of ESBL-E carriers and household transmission over time. Twenty-six studies (n = 2,505 participants) were included. The median carriage duration was 2 months. Approximately 22% (95% confidence interval: 16-28) had persistent carriage after 12 months. Travelers had significantly shorter carriage (median 1-2 months) than discharged hospital patients (median 6 months) at all measured time points. There were insufficient data to robustly meta-analyze household transmission. Nonetheless, five longitudinal studies reported 18.4% to 35.2% of contacts acquired ESBL-E within 4 to 36 months from hospital discharge of index case. Transmission events from travelers to their contacts appeared lower. Travelers with travel-acquired ESBL-E had significantly faster decolonization rate than discharged patients, suggesting that travel-associated import of multidrug-resistant pathogen may have limited contribution to community transmission of ESBL-E. The substantial prevalence of persistent carriers warrant consideration for additional measures to mitigate exposure risk of ESBL-E from discharged patients in the community and from readmitting patients in the hospital.

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