Cardiovascular mortality risks during the 2017 exceptional heatwaves in China

Abstract

Climate change has made disastrous heatwaves more frequent. Heatwave-related health impacts are much more devastating for more intense heatwaves. In the summer of 2017, exceptional heatwaves occurred in many regions, including China. This study aims to evaluate the cardiovascular mortality risk associated with the 2017 exceptional heatwaves and compare the mortality risk of the severe heatwaves with those in other years. Using daily data for a spectrum of cardiovascular mortality and temperature for 102 Chinese counties (2014–2017), we estimated the association between heatwave and mortality by generalized linear mixed-effects models. Compared with matched non-heatwave days, mortality risks on heatwaves days in 2017 increased 27.8% (95% CI, 14.8–42.3%), 26.7% (8.0–48.5%), 30.1% (10.2–53.7%), 27.3% (1.4–59.9%), 32.2% (3.4–68.4%), and 25.2% (1.0–57.7%) for total circulatory diseases, cerebrovascular disease, ischemic heart disease (IHD), acute IHD, chronic IHD, and myocardial infarction. The 2017 exceptional heatwaves impacted ischemic heart disease mortality and myocardial infarction mortality more than heatwaves in 2014–2016. Here we show that the severe heatwaves in 2017 posed catastrophic death threats for those under-studied cardiovascular diseases.