Abstract

BackgroundDespite advances in perioperative care, the postoperative mortality rate after emergency oncological colonic resection remains high. Risk stratification may allow targeted perioperative optimization and cardiac risk stratification. This study aimed to test the hypothesis that the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI), a user-friendly tool, could identify patients who would benefit most from perioperative cardiac risk mitigation.MethodsPatients who underwent emergency resection for colonic cancer from 2007 to 2017 and registered in the Swedish Colorectal Cancer Registry (SCRCR) were analysed retrospectively. These patients were cross-referenced by social security number to the Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare data set, a government registry of mortality, and co-morbidity data. RCRI scores were calculated for each patient and correlated with 90-day postoperative mortality risk, using Poisson regression with robust error of variance.ResultsSome 5703 patients met the study inclusion criteria. A linear increase in crude 90-day postoperative mortality was detected with increasing RCRI score (37.3 versus 11.3 per cent for RCRI 4 or more versus RCRI 1; P < 0.001). The adjusted 90-day all-cause mortality risk was also significantly increased (RCRI 4 or more versus RCRI 1: adjusted incidence rate ratio 2.07, 95 per cent c.i. 1.49 to 2.89; P < 0.001).ConclusionThis study documented an association between increasing cardiac risk and 90-day postoperative mortality. Those undergoing emergency colorectal surgery for cancer with a raised RCRI score should be considered high-risk patients who would most likely benefit from enhanced postoperative monitoring and critical care expertise.

Highlights

  • Morbidity and mortality rates after emergency surgery for colonic cancer greatly exceed those after elective resections[1,2,3,4,5,6]

  • Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) scores were calculated for each patient and correlated with 90-day postoperative mortality risk, using Poisson regression with robust error of variance

  • A linear increase in crude 90-day postoperative mortality was detected with increasing RCRI score (37.3 versus 11.3 per cent for RCRI 4 or more versus RCRI 1; P < 0.001)

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Summary

Introduction

Morbidity and mortality rates after emergency surgery for colonic cancer greatly exceed those after elective resections[1,2,3,4,5,6]. Perioperative risk mitigation, which is essential to optimal surgical care, is possible only when patients at risk are identified Risk stratification tools, such as physiological predictors of critical care requirement (P-POSSUM score, Acute Physiology And Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, and Charlson Co-morbidity Index (CCI)) and surgical outcome (American College of Surgeons (ACS) Surgical Risk Score, National Emergency Laparotomy Audit (NELA) risk calculator, and the machine-learning Predictive OpTimal Trees in Emergency Surgery Risk (POTTER) score), assign a composite risk score to patients. Conclusion: This study documented an association between increasing cardiac risk and 90-day postoperative mortality Those undergoing emergency colorectal surgery for cancer with a raised RCRI score should be considered high-risk patients who would most likely benefit from enhanced postoperative monitoring and critical care expertise

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