Abstract
The prognostic value of discharge ECG was studied in 457 patients after their first acute myocardial infarction. Thirteen different ECG variables were studied on the discharge ECG. When cumulative 4-year survival rates were calculated by standard life-table method for each variable individually, the following variables had statistically significant prognostic power: PTF (P terminal force), PTFA (P terminal frontal axis), AF (atrial fibrillation), ST depression, ST elevation, QRS duration, and the combination block (LBBBRBBB + LAHBLPHB. The variables with no statistically significant predictive power were: QTc, LBBB or RBBB, LAHB or LPHB, AV block, T wave angle, T negativity, and εR. The relative risks for the most important variables in the discrete life-table model were: PTF 3.4, QRS duration 3.3, ST depression 2.6, PTFA 2.5, and ST elevation 2.2. In further analysis a model with only three ECG variables (PTF, ST depression, and ST elevation) was developed which stratified the study population in categories with 1.9% to 75.5% estimated 4-year survival rates.
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