Carbon metabolism in "production-living-ecological" space in urban agglomeration based on land use change.

Abstract

To grasp the impact of carbon metabolism on the evolution of "production-living-ecological" (PLE) space due to land usechange in the Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan (CZT) urban agglomeration, this study delves into the temporal and spatial distribution of PLE space carbon metabolism by constructing a carbon flow model. We evaluate the influence of positive and negative carbon flows on carbon metabolism using ecological network analysis and utility assessment. Furthermore, we delve into the driving factors behind carbon metabolism through redundancy analysis (RDA). The findings of this study included mainly the following aspects. (1) From 2000 to 2020, the net carbon flow in the CZT urban agglomeration consistently remained negative, with the primary source of negative carbon flow being the transition from ecological space to production space. (2) Within the ecological utility network, the dominant ecological relationship shifted from a period of control and exploitation relationship (counted for 61.91%) between 2000 and 2005 to one of competition relationship that counted for 83.33% in 2005-2010, 47.62% in 2010-2015, and 66.67% in 2015-2020. Mutualism relationship, present in the 2000-2005 period, completely disappeared in subsequent years. (3) The value of the utility function M was 0.88, 0.36, 0.48, and 0.40 in four stages (all less than 1), which meant that PLE space evolution on regional carbon metabolism was negative. (4) The key drivers influencing carbon metabolism in PLE space were mainly Change in the Comprehensive Land Use Index (CL), Change in the Proportion of Manufacturing Land (CM), Change in the Proportion of Forestland (CF), and Change in the Proportion of Cultivated Land (CC). Carbon metabolism holds a critical role in the urban material and energy cycle. Studying carbon metabolism within PLE space carries great importance for regional carbon cycling, carbon emission and sequestration, efforts to mitigate climate change, and the maintenance of regional sustainable development.