Abstract
With its proposal of the “double carbon” (peak carbon dioxide emissions and carbon neutralization) goal, China has entered a new stage in creating an ecological civilization and achieving sustainable development. Based on the formation and evolution mechanism of the carbon emission efficiency network, in this study, a trilateral evolutionary game model—including efficiency groups (high- and low-efficiency groups) and local governments—was constructed, in an attempt to discuss the conditions needed for different players and trilateral interconnected systems to implement balanced and stable strategies. Furthermore, the sensitivity of the participants’ evolutionary trajectories toward factors such as the initial strategy ratio, transition cost, and network capital were tested via a system simulation. The main conclusions were as follows: (1) Efficiency groups form a virtuous circle when the initial proportion of the participants’ strategies reaches a certain threshold, and converge into a stable “win–win” state. Under these circumstances, high-efficiency groups tend to give full play to their efficiency advantages in terms of carbon emission reduction and green development, while low-efficiency groups tend to choose green transformation and accept the spillover effect from high-efficiency groups. (2) When efficiency groups achieve a “win–win” state or form good self-management, local governments move from active supervision to a passive supervision strategy in order to reduce supervision costs. (3) While different initial strategy proportions do not affect the stable convergence point of the evolutionary system, they have a differentiated impact on the convergence speed of the players. Under the condition of a low initial strategy ratio, transformation costs can reduce the green transformation enthusiasm of inefficient groups, while network capital can enhance the green transformation willingness of inefficient groups.
Highlights
75th UN General Assembly in 2020, China solemnly promised that its carbon emissions would reach their peak by 2030, and that it would subsequently achieve carbon neutrality by 2060 [2,3]
This study primarily examines existing research in the areas of carbon emissions and carbon emission efficiency, carbon emission reduction, the marketization of energy-use rights, and carbon emission rights
Under the policy pressure of local governments’ environmental regulations, ulations, high-efficiency groups often master more advanced green and low-carbon technologies, and develop efficient management and organization methods, which play a critical role in improving the carbon emission efficiency of low-efficiency groups [22]
Summary
75th UN General Assembly in 2020, China solemnly promised that its carbon emissions would reach their peak by 2030, and that it would subsequently achieve carbon neutrality (the “double carbon” goal) by 2060 [2,3]. The proposal of this “double carbon” goal indicates that China will fully enter a new stage of green, low-carbon, and sustainable development. China’s high carbon emissions can be attributed mainly to its manufacturingoriented economic structure. According to China’s statistics, its carbon emissions reached
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