CAPRA-S predicts outcome for adjuvant and salvage external beam radiotherapy after radical prostatectomy.

Abstract

We aimed to evaluate the predictive value of the Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment Postsurgical Score (CAPRA-S) for patients treated with radical prostatectomy followed by subsequent external beam radiotherapy (EBRT). A total of 373 patients treated with EBRT between January 2000 and June 2015 were identified in the institutional database. Followup and complete CAPRA-S score were available for 334 (89.5%) patients. CAPRA-S scores were sorted into previously defined categories of low- (score 0-2), intermediate- (3-5), and high-risk (6-12). Time to biochemical recurrence (BCR) was defined as prostate-specific antigen (PSA) >0.20 ng/mL after EBRT. Survival analyses were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method and comparisons were made using the log-rank test. Overall median time from surgery to EBRT was 18 months (interquartile range [IQR] 8-36) and median followup since EBRT was 48 months (IQR 28-78). CAPRA-S predicted time to BCR (<0.001), time to palliative androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT) (p=0.017), and a trend for significantly predicting overall survival (OS, p=0.058). On multivariate analysis, the CAPRA-S was predictive of time to BCR only (low-risk vs. intermediate-risk; hazard ratio [HR] 0.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.043-0.48, p=0.001). The last PSA measurement before EBRT as a continuous and grouped variable proved highly significant in predicting all outcomes tested, including OS (p≤0.002). CAPRA-S predicts time to BCR and freedom from palliative ADT, and is borderline significant for OS. Together with the PSA before EBRT, CAPRA-S is a useful, predictive tool. The main limitation of this study is its retrospective design.