Abstract

For capital markets to function, political institutions must support capitalism in general and the capitalism of financial markets in particular. Yet the shape, support, and extent of capital markets are often contested in the polity. Powerful elements — from politicians to mass popular movements — have reason to change, co-opt, and remove value from capital markets. And the competing capital markets’ players themselves have reason to seek rules that favor their own capital channels over those of others. How these contests are settled deeply affects the form, extent, and effectiveness of capital markets. And investigation of the primary political economy forces shaping capital markets can lead us to better understand economic, political, and legal institutions overall. Much important work has been done in recent decades on the vitality of institutions. Less well emphasized, however, is that widely-shared, deeply-held preferences, often arising from the interests and opinions that prevail at any given time, can sometimes sweep away prior institutions, establish new ones, or, less dramatically but more often, sharply alter or replace them. At crucial times, preferences can trump institutions, and how the two interact is well-illustrated by the political economy of capital markets. Since North’s (1990) famous essay, academic work has focused on the importance of institutions for economic development. Here, I emphasize the channels by which immediate preferences can trump institutional structure in determining the shape and extent of capital markets.

Highlights

  • For capital markets to function, political institutions must support capitalism in general and the capitalism of financial markets in particular

  • Preferences can at crucial times trump institutions, and how the two interact is well-illustrated by the political economy of capital markets

  • I outline the main weaknesses in the interaction between political institutions and capitalism, indicate the most common resolution of these weaknesses, and show how the interaction between capital markets and politics has been seen in the academic literature

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Summary

Discussion

This paper can be downloaded without charge from: The Harvard John M. Players in capital markets have reason to seek rules that favor their own capital channels over those of others How these contests are settled deeply affects the form, the extent, and the effectiveness of capital markets. Less well emphasized far is that widely-shared, deeply-held preferences, often arising from current interests and opinions, can at times sweep away prior institutions or, less dramatically but more often, sharply alter or replace them. When they do so, old institutions can be replaced by new ones, or strongly modified. Preferences can at crucial times trump institutions, and how the two interact is well-illustrated by the political economy of capital markets

INTRODUCTION
Capital Markets’ Dependence on Political Institutions
CAPITAL MARKETS AND FINANCIAL POLITICS IN THE DEVELOPED WORLD
Rudiments without Government Institutions
Elites’ Interests
Non-Elites’ Interests
Political Stability
Inequality
Contemporary
Historical
PREFERENCE AGGREGATION AND COMBINATORICS
Shifting Coalitions
Political Institutions and Preference Aggregation
American federalism
Geopolitics
Political Change
CONCLUSION
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