Abstract

This study investigates the contributions of capital market and financially deepening to economic growth in Nigeria over the period of 1981 to 2012. The analysis involves examining the stochastic characteristics of each time series variable by testing their stationarity using Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test and estimates the error correction mechanism model. The study revealed that Stock Market Capitalization, Narrow Money Diversification (involving credit to the private sector) and Interest Rate significantly impacted the promotion of economic growth of the country during the period of study. Though, other measures of liquidity represented by Financial Development (FID) and Monetization Ratio (MTR) were not significant in explaining the trend in economic growth, they exhibited very strong coefficients in the process. The study recommends that Government and other stakeholders in the economy should take measures further to improve the liquidity of the financial market to enhance overall economic efficiency in the country. In addition to proper monetary policy management, the study further recommends that concrete steps be taken to improve the activities of the Nigerian stock market.

Highlights

  • The objective of economic development constitutes a primal position in the task of Governance around the world

  • If the cointegration test shows that the variables have long-run equilibrium relationship, it is a sufficient condition for an error correction model (ECM) formulation

  • If variables are non-stationary at level, but cointegrated, their dynamic relationships will be specified correctly by an error correction model (Granger and Engle, 1987)

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Summary

Introduction

The objective of economic development constitutes a primal position in the task of Governance around the world. The study revealed that Stock Market Capitalization, Narrow Money Diversification (involving credit to the private sector) and Interest Rate significantly impacted the promotion of economic growth of the country during the period of study. The existing literature in this field of study so far has not separated the contributions of financial deepening variables and capital market variables in the analysis of contributions to the country’s economic growth.

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