Abstract

Capacity drop (CD) at overloaded bottlenecks is a puzzling traffic flow phenomenon with some internal and complicated mechanisms at the microscopic level. Capacity drop is not only important for traffic flow theory and modelling, but also significant for traffic control. A traffic model evaluating traffic control measures needs to be able to reproduce capacity drop in order to deliver reliable evaluation results. This paper delivers a comprehensive overview on the subject from the behavioral mechanism perspective, as well as from microscopic and macroscopic simulation points of view. The paper also conducts comparable studies to replicate capacity drop at freeway ramp merges from both macroscopic and microscopic perspectives. Firstly, the subject is studied using the macroscopic traffic flow model METANET with respect to ramp merging scenarios with and without ramp metering. Secondly, one major weakness of commercial microscopic traffic simulation tools in creating capacity drop at ramp merges is identified and a forced lane changing model for ramp-merging vehicles is studied and incorporated into the commercial traffic simulation tool AIMSUN. The extended AIMSUN carefully calibrated against real data is then examined for its capability of reproducing capacity drop in a complicated traffic scenario with merging bottlenecks. The obtained results demonstrate that reproducible capacity drop can be delivered for the targeted bottlenecks using both macroscopic and microscopic simulation tools.

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