Abstract

Based on an analysis of the developments to date, this article originates from and then substantiates long-discussed approaches of a fast, periodic unaccompanied combined rail freight transport network for Germany that corresponds to the target modal split. A four-stage scenario of a market entry is developed. The presented solution incorporates potentially novel aspects such as a network design based on the Deutschlandtakt Cargo integrated periodic timetable framework, the prospective quantity structures as of 2030, and a segmentation for a route-specific mix of two major shipping container types. The set of assessment indicators derived by the model allows to gain insights on the achievable capacities and service levels versus the addressable freight transport demand as well as consequential cost/benefit functions.

Highlights

  • 1.1 BackgroundThe imperative climate protection regulation and the unabatedly ambitious objectives of a substantial modal shift from road to rail shall be brought in consistency with the technological viability and prospective market reactions of a supply-driven extended rail freight system

  • Based on an analysis of the developments to date, this article originates from and substantiates long-discussed approaches of a fast, periodic unaccompanied combined rail freight transport network for Germany that corresponds to the target modal split

  • The presented solution incorporates potentially novel aspects such as a network design based on the Deutschlandtakt Cargo integrated periodic timetable framework, the prospective quantity structures as of 2030, and a segmentation for a route-specific mix of two major shipping container types

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Summary

Introduction

The imperative climate protection regulation and the unabatedly ambitious objectives of a substantial modal shift from road to rail shall be brought in consistency with the technological viability and prospective market reactions of a supply-driven extended rail freight system. The current decarbonisation debate is once again putting the spotlight on a much greater role for freight rail in managing rising transport volumes and lowering greenhouse gas emissions. This preconceived pathway is subject to demanding conditions as well. Despite further increasing intramodal competition – with a medium term Herfindahl index below 0.25 – which has stimulated the German rail freight market, existing operating models fell short of expectations of a considerable modal shift towards rail

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