Can the presence of aortic or coronary artery calcifications in the standard of care baseline CT or PET-CT scan of patients with Hodgkin or non-Hodgkin lymphoma be used as a predictor of MACE?

Abstract

Abstract Background Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), commonly defined as acute myocardial infarction, acute coronary syndrome/ischemic heart disease requiring revascularization, stroke, and heart failure, represent a significant cause of mortality among patients with cancer. With increased rates of both cancer and cancer survivorship, the identification of new predictive markers for the development of MACE in this population is crucial for implementing effective preventive and risk-mitigation strategies. Purpose To determine whether the presence of calcifications in the coronary arteries (CAC) or aorta (CA) of lymphoma patients, as reported in standard-of-care PET-CT (Positron Emission Tomography-Computed Tomography) or chest CT (Computed Tomography) scan, can predict the occurrence of MACE. Methods A Retrospective analysis was conducted on a cohort of patients diagnosed with Hodgkin or non-Hodgkin lymphoma and treated with anthracycline-based chemotherapy. Patients were diagnosed from January 1, 2013, and followed through to June 30, 2023. The reference point for the study was the radiologist’s report of the PET-CT or chest CT conducted before the initiation of anthracycline therapy. Patients who did not undergo a PET-CT or CT before the start of treatment, and/or developed MACE before treatment initiation were excluded. Univariate and multivariate adjusted Cox regression models were employed to assess whether the presence of CA and CAC was associated with the development of MACE. Associations with outcomes were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression. Results 326 patients were included with a mean age of 55 years (range: 52-60), predominantly male 201 (61%) and white 314 (96%), CAC was reported in 75 patients (23%) and CA in 18 (6%). In the univariate regression model, a statistically significant association was found between the presence of both CA and CAC with the risk of MACE. CAC showed a stronger association with the development of MACE than CA (HR: 3.7 [1-7.9], p=0.0005 vs HR: 2.9 [1- 8.5], p=0.050). In multivariable analysis CAC emerged as the strongest predictor of MACE (HR: 2.9 [1.3 – 6.4], p=0.01), after accounting for hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and GFR <60 (Table 1), while the association with CA attenuated (HR: 2.01 [0.7-6.5], p=0.2010) and was no longer significant (Table 2). Conclusion CAC in the standard-of-care PET/-CT scans was a predictor of MACE in lymphoma patients treated with anthracyclines, while the association with CA weakened in multivariable analyses and was likely underpowered given the small number of patients with CA. If replicated, this finding warrants closer surveillance of this group of patients and can be considered as a non-invasive cardiovascular risk marker.