Abstract

The purpose of this research was to compare the accuracy of the Black Scholes option model and the GARCH option model on index options using IDX Composite (IHSG) data from 2009-2018 with the long strangle strategy. The Black Scholes volatility constructed by using historical volatility, while GARCH volatility constructed by using the ARIMA model and the best lag. The accuracy of options analyzed using the average percentage mean square error (AMSE) to find the best model. The results of this study showed that for the one month option, the GARCH model is more accurate for a call option with 0.26%, while the Black Scholes model is more accurate for a put option with 0.18%. For the two month option, the GARCH model is more accurate for a call option with 0.92%, while the Black Scholes model is more accurate for a put option with 0.26%. For the three month option, the Black Scholes model is more accurate for a call option and put option with 2.00% and 0.31%, respectively. The results of this study further sharpen the research conducted by Bhat and Arekar (2016)and Hendrawan(2010)
 Keywords : Black Scholes Options Model; GARCH Option Model; Long Strangle; ,Index Option.,

Full Text
Paper version not known

Talk to us

Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have

Schedule a call

Disclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.