Abstract
The CNG2020 strategy proposed in 2016 has directly impacted the global aviation industry, and the ensuing COVID-19 pandemic has brought the global aviation industry to a standstill. This paper calculates the Pollution Abatement Costs (PAC) index and regulated profits of the global aviation industry by establishing Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model. Then, considering the airlines’ different recovery times from COVID-19, we predict the data of 25 international benchmark airlines from 2021 to 2027 based on the actual data during 2012–2019. The regulated profits can help judge whether airlines can achieve a win-win situation of carbon emission reduction and revenue growth in the future recovery process. We have some findings: 1. Air France-KLM has the maximum regulated profits, while EasyJet has the minimal regulated gains. 2. The setting of route conditions impacts whether airlines can achieve a win-win situation.
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