Abstract
This paper investigates scoring patterns in NCAA men’s college basketball to determine the practicality of widespread cheating in the form of point shaving. Previous research, notably Wolfers (2006), suggests that, because there are a large number of heavy favorites who win but do not cover the point spread as determined in the betting market, men’s basketball is subject to potential corruption and that closer attention should be paid to these heavy favorites. Our analysis suggests that, after taking into account various incentives for heavy favorites and the status of the game at half time, a much smaller proportion of games identified in previous studies are potentially susceptible to point shaving. We conclude that point shaving is not widespread because of its impracticality.
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