Abstract
As in other types of cancer, tumor markers are used in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) for disease follow-up, especially after surgery. There has been shown to be a significant correlation between the tumor marker levels and poor prognosis in locally or systemic advanced stage PDAC patients. However, there is no significant correlation between prognosis and marker levels in patients with early stage PDAC patients. This study aimed to examine the effect of the carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (Ca19-9)/carcinoembryogenic antigen (CEA) ratio in ductal adenocarcinoma of the pancreatic head on disease prognosis and mean survival. This retrospective study was conducted with 129 pancreatic head adenocarcinoma patients who were treated with whipple procedure at the Ankara University Surgical Oncology Clinic between 2010 and 2020. All patients' demographics, stage of the disease, CEA, CA 19-9 levels, and CEA/Ca 19-9 ratio were enrolled and compared statistically. A new cutoff value was calculated for the Ca19-9/CEA ratio. A Ca19-9/CEA ratio >29.77 showed 69.9% sensitivity and 70.9% specificity for the probability of the T3 and T4 stages. The cutoff value for the Ca19-9/CEA ratio was 27.18. This cutoff value had a sensitivity of 79.4% and a specificity of 80.3% for lymph node metastasis. Patients with a Ca19-9/CEA ratio below the cutoff value of 28.475 had a mean survival of 93.161 months and those with a value higher than the cutoff value had a mean survival of 28.541 months (P < .001). A simple combination of tumor markers was determined to have higher accuracy rates in predicting tumor prognosis and in determining mean survival, which are particularly needed in early stage cancers.
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