Abstract

To determine the association between cam morphology and the development of radiographic hip osteoarthritis (RHOA) at four time points within 10-year follow-up. The nationwide prospective Cohort Hip and Cohort Knee study includes 1002 participants aged 45-65 years with 2-, 5-, 8-, and 10-year follow-ups. The associations of cam morphology (alpha angle >60°) and large cam morphology (alpha angle >78°) in hips free of osteoarthritis at baseline (Kellgren & Lawrence (KL) grade <2) with the development of both incident RHOA (KL grade≥2) and end-stage RHOA (KL grade≥3) were estimated using logistic regression with generalized estimating equation at each follow-up and using Cox regression over 10 years, adjusted for age, sex, and body mass index. Both cam morphology and large cam morphology were associated with the development of incident RHOA at all follow-ups with adjusted Odd Ratios (aORs) ranging from 2.7 (95% Confidence interval 1.8-4.1) to 2.9 (95% CI 2.0-4.4) for cam morphology and ranging from 2.5 (95% CI 1.5-4.3) to 4.2 (95% CI 2.2-8.3) for large cam morphology. For end-stage RHOA, cam morphology resulted in aORs ranging from 4.9 (95% CI 1.8-13.2) to 8.5 (95% CI 1.1-64.4), and aORs for large cam morphology ranged from 6.7 (95% CI 3.1-14.7) to 12.7 (95% CI 1.9-84.4). Cam morphology poses the hip at 2-13 times increased odds for developing RHOA within a 10-year follow-up. The association was particularly strong for large cam morphology and end-stage RHOA, while the strength of association was consistent over time.

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