Abstract

Evaluation de la pertinence de la conditionnalisation bayesienne (BC) dans le domaine de la theorie de la confirmation en science. Mesurant le role epistemologique de (BC) au regard de la valeur et de la decouverte d'une nouvelle evidence, d'une part, et distinguant l'approche diachronique et le moment particulier de l'opinion, d'autre part, l'A. defend la permissibilite rationnelle d'une mise a jour pour violer (BC) et utilise la notion de calibrage afin de montrer en quel sens un argument justificatif ne peut violer (BC)

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