Calculation of the Rate of Reaching the Standard of Beijing Citizens' Scientific Quality During the 14th Five Year Plan Period——Based on the L-Q GM(1,1)

Abstract

As one of the four centers, Beijing is an important part of the national innovation system and an important driving force of social development. The scientific quality of Beijing citizens has become an important yardstick of contemporary society. By interpolating the discontinuous sample data of Beijing citizens' scientific quality compliance rate from 2015 to 2020 and using the grey system GM (1,1) model improved by the L-Q method to calculate, the Beijing citizens' scientific quality compliance rate from 2021 to 2025 is obtained. The results show that the Beijing citizens' scientific quality compliance rate is steadily rising, and will exceed 30% from 2024 and reach 35.26% by 2025, This is far beyond the target that the proportion of Chinese citizens with scientific quality should exceed 15% by 2025 and the long-term goal of 2035 in the outline of the action plan for the scientific quality of the whole people (2021-2035). At the same time, this paper gives suggestions to improve Beijing's science popularization work: measure the development trend of the compliance rate with the small sample method to guide the work, promote the coordinated development of new infrastructure and traditional infrastructure in the field of science popularization, strengthen the systematic promotion of science popularization, and pay attention to the accurate supply of science popularization services.