Abstract

225 Background: Two phase III trials, COMET-1 and COMET-2, have reported that cabozantinib did not extend overall survival (OS) outcomes compared to prednisone and prednisone plus mitoxantrone respectively, in unselected post-docetaxel patients with mCRPC. We conducted a retrospective analysis of a combined dataset of these trials in an attempt to identify a benefit in subsets of patients based on prognostic risk factors. Methods: Baseline characteristics and survival data were combined for COMET-1 and COMET-2. Prognostic ability of baseline factors on survival was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards regression models, which incorporated the factors in the modern post-docetaxel nomogram and overall bone scan lesion area (BSLA) by computer-assisted analysis. Regression models included trial as a stratification factor. Evaluation of potentially benefited subsets was performed by the use of interaction terms between the factors and cabozantinib. The hazard ratio between cabozantinib and comparator arms was evaluated after adjusting for baseline prognostic factors. All tests were 2-sided and a p-value ≤0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results: A total of 1147 post-docetaxel patients with mCRPC were available (1028 from COMET-1 and 119 from COMET-2). Age, albumin, LDH and BSLA were statistically significant prognostic factors in addition to variables from the Halabi model (site of metastases, pain, docetaxel-free interval, ECOG-PS, hemoglobin, alkaline phosphatase, PSA). There was no consistent interaction effect on survival between cabozantinib vs. comparator arms for any prognostic group. After adjusting for multiple potential prognostic factors, treatment with cabozantinib vs. comparator was associated with an observed hazard ratio of 0.77 (95% CI = 0.65 to 0.92, p = 0.003) for survival. Conclusions: After combining data from both COMET-1 and COMET-2 trials, no differential effect of cabozantinib on survival was observed for any prognostic risk factor. A modest treatment effect of cabozantinib on OS was observed after controlling for multiple potential prognostic factors.

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