Abstract

Introduction and objectivesPatients with Fontan circulation (FC) have a high incidence of clinical complications. However, no biomarker is able to accurately stratify risk. The aim of this study was to analyze the relationship between biomarkers and clinical complications, including carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125) for the first time, and to propose a risk estimation based on a combination of biomarkers. MethodsCross-sectional study of patients with FC. The clinical endpoint was the combination of heart failure, atrial arrhythmias, veno-venous fistulae, protein-losing enteropathy, or plastic bronchitis. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory variables were analyzed, including CA125, NT-proBNP, renal and liver function, and red cell distribution width (RDW). We performed univariate and multivariate analyses of the relationship between these variables and the composite endpoint. Cutoff values were calculated by ROC curves. ResultsWe included 56 patients (27.4±7.8 years). A total of 34% showed the composite endpoint, with significantly higher CA125 levels (30.1 IU/mL vs 12.6 IU/mL; P=.001). In the multivariate model, the biomarkers related to the endpoint were LnCA125 (OR, 5.1; 95%CI, 1.2-22), RDW (OR, 1.8; 95%CI, 1.1-3.1), and FIB4 (OR, 38, 95%CI, 1.7-855). The cutoff points were CA125 ≥ 20 U/mL, FIB4 ≥ 0.75, and RDW ≥ 14.5%, and the probability of the occurrence of the endpoint was 81% if ≥ 2 biomarkers were elevated. ConclusionsCA125 elevation is associated with a higher prevalence of complications in patients with Fontan-type circulation. CA125 levels ≥ 20U/mL, FIB4 ≥ 0.75 and RDW ≥ 14.5% identify with a high probability the clinical failure of FC.

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