Abstract
This paper discusses the use of the OECD’s framework to identify early warning indicators for building a Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) and the use of the Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR) for constructing a short-term forecasting model of economic growth of Hong Kong. With the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, this paper further evaluates the performance of the CLI and forecasting model which were built based on pre-COVID-19 parameters and identify further adjustments to enhance the model performance.
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
