Building modeling as a crucial part for building predictive control

Abstract

Recent results show that a predictive building automation can be used to operate buildings in an energy and cost effective manner with only a small retrofitting requirements. In this approach, the dynamic models are of crucial importance. As industrial experience has shown, modeling is the most time-demanding and costly part of the automation process. Many papers devoted to this topic actually deal with modeling of building subsystems. Although some papers identify a building as a complex system, the provided models are usually simple two-zones models, or extremely detailed models resulting from the use of building simulation software packages. These are, however, not suitable for predictive control. The objective of this paper is to share the years-long experience of the authors in building modeling intended for predictive control of the building's climate. We provide an overview of identification methods for buildings and analyze their applicability for subsequent predictive control. Moreover, we propose a new methodology to obtain a model suitable for the use in a predictive control framework combining the building energy performance simulation tools and statistical identification. The procedure is based on the so-called co-simulation that has appeared recently as a feature of various building simulation software packages.