Abstract

To compare the utility of single versus repeated autism screening in a sample at higher likelihood (HL) for ASD, following both screen positives and all screen negatives to diagnostic outcome. Using a prospective infant sibling design, the current study followed 135 toddlers at HL for ASD and conducted diagnostic evaluations on the full sample at 18, 24, and 36 months. The psychometric properties of the M-CHAT-R using both concurrent and predictive diagnostic evaluations were compared in a group screened once (at 18 months only, n = 60) or twice (at both 18 and 24 months, n = 75). The study also examined consistency in reporting of ASD symptoms across the M-CHAT-R and a developmental concerns interview, comparing the HL group to a group with lower likelihood (LL) for ASD (n = 88). Sensitivity and specificity of the M-CHAT-R were high (75 - 95%), consistent with previous research. Positive predictive value (43 - 76%) was higher in this HL group than in previous community samples. Repeat screening improved sensitivity with little cost to specificity. At both 18 and 24 months, HL parents were more consistent in their reporting on the M-CHAT-R and a concerns interview than LL parents. The M-CHAT-R has strong psychometric properties when used with groups at HL for ASD, suggesting that scores over the screening cutoff of 3 should lead to prompt diagnostic evaluation referrals in children with older siblings on the spectrum.

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