Bridging the Energy Efficiency Gap: Insights for Policy from Economic Theory and Empirical Analysis

Abstract

Despite several decades of government policies to promote efficiency, estimates of the costs and benefits of such policies remain controversial. At the heart of the controversy is whether there is an energy efficiency whereby consumers and firms fail to make seemingly positive net present value saving investments. High implicit discount rates, undervaluation of future fuel savings, and negative cost efficiency measures have all been discussed as evidence of the existence of a gap. We review explanations for an efficiency gap, including reasons why the size of the gap may be overstated, neoclassical explanations for a gap, and recent evidence from behavioral economics that has potential to help us understand why a gap could exist. Our review raises fundamental questions about traditional welfare analysis, yet we find the alternatives offered in the literature to be far from ready for use in policy analysis. Nevertheless, we offer several suggestions for policymakers and for future economic research.