Abstract
The chapter discusses the possible consequences of Brexit for the Polish food sector. The focus was on two areas – the budget of the CAP and the agri-food trade of Poland and the United Kingdom. It was found that the Polish food sector may be particularly affected by the implications of Brexit. On the one hand, the growing pressure to limit spending on the CAP and, on the other, a very likely deterioration in terms of mutual trade in agri-food products will be a problem. In the moderate scenario, which provides relatively small reductions in the CAP expenditure, transfers to Polish agriculture could decrease by almost EUR 290 million on average per year. In the radical scenario, reductions could amount to nearly EUR 1 billion on average per year. In the case of restoring customs tariffs resulting from the WTO Most Favoured Nation Clause, one can expect a breakdown in the Polish exports to the UK of the most important agri-food product groups.
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