Breast cancer prediction model based on clinical and biochemical characteristics: clinical data from patients with benign and malignant breast tumors from a single center in South China.

Abstract

Breast cancer is the most prevalent cancer and is second leading cause of death from malignancy among women worldwide. In addition to tumor factors, the host characteristics of tumors have been paid more and more attention by the medical community. This study aimed to develop a breast cancer prediction model for the Chinese population using clinical and biochemical characteristics. This is a retrospective study. From 2012 to 2021, we selected 19,751 patients with breast diseases from the Guangdong Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, which included 5660 patients with breast cancer and 14,091 patients with benign breast diseases-75% of patients were randomly assigned to the training group and 25% to the test group using a total of 34 clinical and biochemical characteristics. Significant clinical signs were investigated, and logistic regression with recursive feature elimination (RFE) model was used to develop a prediction model for distinguishing benign from malignant breast diseases. The prediction model's accuracy, precision, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the ROC curve (AUC) were calculated. Clinical statistics demonstrated that the prediction model comprised 19 clinical characteristics had statistical separability in both the training group and the test group, as well as good sensitivity and prediction. This model based on biochemical parameters demonstrates a significant predictive effect for breast cancer and may be useful as a reference for invasive tissue biopsy in patients undergoing BI-RADS 3 and 4A breast imaging.