Breaking the Cycle of Violence? Promises and Pitfalls of the Liberian Peace Process

Abstract

This article analyses the prospects for sustainable peace in Liberia. The implementation of the 2003 peace agreement has largely been successful, but there are reasons for concern. Liberia's history of repeated cycles of violence and fragile peace provides valuable lessons for the current peace process. The article argues that Liberia's future is contingent on three critical aspects. First, the management of the immediate and long-term security challenges in terms of the reconstruction of the security forces, the reintegration of ex-combatants and the management of spoilers. Second, the capacity and willingness of the new government to promote democratic progress and good governance. Third, the political developments in the neighbouring region.