Abstract

AbstractAre there factors of continuity that help in predicting economic development policy in Third World countries? What groups will influence policy as regime types change? In Latin America today several military regimes are shifting to civilian leadership. Technocrats could provide continuity as new decision makers face difficult economic choices. The Brazilian case provides a dramatic example, given the prominent role played by technocrats during the military regimes since 1964 and the increased electoral activity begun in 1982. This study evaluates the role and potential future impact of Brazilian technocrats. It uses the example of Brazilians trained or otherwise influenced by the U.N. Economic Commission for Latin America (ECLA). Given that ECLA has been a major force in promoting development policy involving planning and import substitution, the Brazilians in question could affect major policy change during the current economic crisis.

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