Abstract
This text discusses institutional changes implemented in the recent period in Brazil. If they are not reversed in a future government, they will have, on the one hand, redefined the place of the state in the economy and society, resulting, among other consequences, in the shrinking of public policies in general, and especially of social policies; on the other hand, they will have substantially altered the country’s labor market, expanding the presence of the already important and structural segment of informal workers. They consist of the Constitutional Amendment 95 (EC 95) and the set of articles and provisions of the Consolidation of Labor Laws (CLT) that were amended by the labor reform. In the first section, aspects concerning the conditions inherited by the new government are analyzed; in the second one, we discuss the Constitutional Amendment 95; in the following section, we go over the labor reform and the labor market, both inherited from Michel Temer’s government. In section four, some of the ongoing measures of the new government are presented into detail.Keywords: Temer Government. Bolsonaro Government. Labor reform. Constitutional Amendment 95. Social politics.***Brasil: as alterações institucionais no período recente e o novo governo***Este texto discute as alterações institucionais que foram realizadas no período recente no Brasil. Caso elas não sejam revertidas em um futuro governo, terão, de um lado, redefinido o lugar do Estado na economia e na sociedade, resultando, entre outras consequências, no encolhimento das políticas públicas em geral e, especialmente, das políticas sociais; de outro, terão alterado substancialmente o mercado de trabalho do país, ampliando a presença do já importante e estrutural segmento de trabalhadores informais. São elas: a Emenda Constitucional 95 (EC 95) e o conjunto de artigos e dispositivos da Consolidação das Leis Trabalhistas (CLT) que foram alterados pela reforma trabalhista. Em sua primeira seção, são analisados alguns aspectos das condições herdadas pelo novo governo; na segunda, discutimos a Emenda Constitucional 95 e, na seguinte, vemos a reforma trabalhista e o mercado de trabalho, ambas herdadas do governo de Michel Temer. Na seção quatro, detalhamos algumas das medidas em curso do novo governo.
Highlights
Following the parliamentary, media and legal coup that removed Dilma Rousseff from the presidency of the Republic, two significant institutional changes were made during Michel Temer’s administration, Such changes, if not reversed in a future government, will have, on the one hand, redefined the place of the state in the economy and society, resulting, among other consequences, in the shrinking of public policies in general, and especially of social policies; on the other hand, they will have substantially altered the country’s labor market, broadening the presence of the already important and structural segment of informal workers
This text discusses institutional changes implemented in the recent period in Brazil
They consist of the Constitutional Amendment 95 (EC 95) and the set of articles and provisions of the Consolidation of Labor Laws (CLT) that were amended by the labor reform
Summary
Media and legal coup that removed Dilma Rousseff from the presidency of the Republic, two significant institutional changes were made during Michel Temer’s administration, Such changes, if not reversed in a future government, will have, on the one hand, redefined the place of the state in the economy and society, resulting, among other consequences, in the shrinking of public policies in general, and especially of social policies; on the other hand, they will have substantially altered the country’s labor market, broadening the presence of the already important and structural segment of informal workers. In none of the countries is the time horizon long-term, whereas in Brazil the duration of its application covers the time of a generation It does not include interest expenses on public debt, indicating that, differently from what was stated in the reasons accompanying the submission of PEC 241, it is not a matter of containing public expenditure (whose alleged escalation was identified as the great evil of the Brazilian economy), but to reduce spending to ensure the continuous payment of interest on public debt. Without a real ability to work on exchange rate policy against international capital movements (note the Central Bank’s ineffectiveness in containing the devaluation of the real at various times); without a real capacity for monetary policy, other than the one dictated by the international financial community, with EC 95, the fiscal policy possibility is lost
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