"Boom" or "Ruin"--Does It Make a Difference? Using Text Mining and Sentiment Analysis to Support Intraday Investment Decisions

Abstract

Investors have to deal with an increasing amount of information in order to make beneficial investment decisions. Thus, text mining is often applied to support the decision-making process by predicting the stock price impact of financial news. Recent research has shown that there exists a relation between news article sentiment and stock prices. However, this is not considered by previous text mining studies. In this paper, we develop a novel two-stage approach that connects text mining with sentiment analysis to predict the stock price impact of company-specific news. We find that the combination of text mining and sentiment analysis improves forecasting results. Additionally, a higher accuracy can be achieved by using finance-related word lists for sentiment analysis instead of a generic dictionary.