Bolsonaro: The Fate of The Paris Climate Agreement and Global Climate Change Under A Shift In Brazilian Domestic Politics

Abstract

The Amazon rainforest, one of the planet’s largest natural defenses against global warming.[1]. In light of these uncertainties, this paper seeks to discern what the first 100 days of the Bolsonaro administration may signal for Brazil’s environmental future. It establishes an evaluation of whether President Bolsonaro possesses the necessary support to fulfill his promise of withdrawing from the Paris Agreement through an exploration of the congressional dynamics Bolsonaro faces, this includes the dynamics of “coalitional presidentialism” and the executive power of legislative agenda-setting from literature on Brazilian politics
The protection of the Amazon creates a significant interest within the international community, whose respective efforts to curb emissions may be undermined by the shrinking of the largest carbon sink on the planet
To add to the confusion, he back-tracked on this stance in the days leading up to the presidential election, adding uncertainty to where currently Bolsonaro stands on the issue.[18]. He has not been explicit in denying the existence of man-made climate change, Bolsonaro has hinted at a denial of the science behind global warming, describing climate change as “greenhouse fables.”[19]. Bolsonaro’s actual capacity to withdraw Brazil from the Paris agreement, if he so chooses, is limited by a host of factors