Body size modulates demographic patterns of top predators and their native and invasive prey: A biomathematical approach

Abstract

The arrival of invasive species in native communities impacts the structure and functioning of ecosystems, and is considered a critical indicator of loss of biodiversity. Exploring the effects of new species in communities presents challenges addressable through theoretical ecology. Species body size not only shapes trophic relationships, but may also impact predator success and facilitate species coexistence. However, little attention has been paid to the effects of differences in species body size on interactions between native and invasive primary consumers, which could be relevant to their coexistence with higher-level predators. Our aim is to investigate demographic patterns using a dynamic, mechanistic model of two age-structured primary consumers (one invasive and one native) sharing a plant resource and preyed upon by a common predator. In our model, we highlight three crucial phenomena: the structuring of primary consumers into adults and juveniles, reproduction occurring in discrete pulses, and the seasonal addition of new individuals to the population. Hence, the success of one species over the other relies on its reproductive capacity to incorporate individuals in each reproductive cycle. Our simulations reveal that abundance patterns are influenced by body size, suggesting that changes in predator body size could serve as key indicators of shifts in community structure.